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Immunity.md

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Summary

  • Normal life may return when enough of the population has immunity to Covid-19, limiting further spread. This is known as "herd immunity". (COVID-19 Vaccines and Herd Immunity; Harvard Center for Communicable Disease Dynamics)

  • Herd immunity may be achieved either through infection and recovery or by vaccination. [1]

  • Herd immunity also protects those who are unable to be vaccinated, such as newborns and immunocompromised people, because the disease spread within the population is very limited. [1]

  • To see data for a specific state use the selector on the sidebar.

How much of the population needs immunity?

  • The herd immunity threshold (HIT) is debated among scientists. The commonly accepted herd immunity threshold for SARS-CoV-2 is 60-80%. [2] [3]

  • A research group at the University of Oxford estimates the threshold at 10% to 60% when accounting for T cell immunity studies. [2]

  • Another research group calculates the threshold at 10% to 20% when accounting for diversity in population mixing. [2]

  • Infections, hospitalizations, and related metrics may decline as population immunity rises, even if the HIT is not reached. [3]

References

  1. What Is Herd Immunity? | Infectious Diseases | JAMA | JAMA Network

  2. Covid-19: Do many people have pre-existing immunity? | The BMJ

  3. COVID-19 Vaccines and Herd Immunity ; Harvard Center for Communicable Disease Dynamics