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Normal life may return when enough of the population has immunity to Covid-19, limiting further spread. This is known as "herd immunity". (COVID-19 Vaccines and Herd Immunity; Harvard Center for Communicable Disease Dynamics)
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Herd immunity may be achieved either through infection and recovery or by vaccination. [1]
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Herd immunity also protects those who are unable to be vaccinated, such as newborns and immunocompromised people, because the disease spread within the population is very limited. [1]
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The herd immunity threshold (HIT) is debated among scientists. The commonly accepted herd immunity threshold for SARS-CoV-2 is 60-80%. [2] [3]
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A research group at the University of Oxford estimates the threshold at 10% to 60% when accounting for T cell immunity studies. [2]
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Another research group calculates the threshold at 10% to 20% when accounting for diversity in population mixing. [2]
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Infections, hospitalizations, and related metrics may decline as population immunity rises, even if the HIT is not reached. [3]