"The Hubble Constant: A Historical Review" #16
RedshiftDrift
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Original article: "As the 20th century came to an end, ladder measurements of the Hubble constant were at odds with the favored cosmological model of the time of cold dark matter with Λ = 0. The new favorite became the ΛCDM model with dark energy giving rise to acceleration of space in a topologically flat universe. Yet ladder measurements, continuously improving, create doubts that this currently favorite model is complete. Yes, there is a Hubble tension." |
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Han, you write:
Coincidence, of course! Here's why.
Historically, the published values of$H_0$ based on the distance-ladder went as low as 50 km/s/Mpc in the 1950s before increasing to $\approx 70$ km/s/Mpc in 2000.
The CMB-based value of$H_0$ was found by selecting, out of several cosmologies, the model that gave the nearest value to the distance-ladder measurements. So in the 1990s cosmologists took a snapshot of the Hubble constant from distance-ladder measurements, $H_0 \approx 67 \pm 10$ km/s/Mpc at the time, and imbedded it in ΛCDM's parameters.
Riess et al. improved distance-ladder measurements which eventually gave$H_0 \approx 73.3$ km/s/Mpc, with a low uncertainty. At the same time, refined measurements of the CMB were analyzed using 1990s-derived parameters, and unsurprisingly obtained $H_0 \approx 67.4$ km/s/Mpc with a low uncertainty.
The ratio you are considering,$72.75/67.4$ , is the ratio of historical values of the distance-ladder measured $H_0$ , one in 2022, the other in 1997. The difference between these values depends on a random statistical uncertainty of measurements.$\sqrt{0.3884 / (1/3)}$ , of course!
Since it's a random number, it's a coincidence that it matches
From THE HUBBLE CONSTANT by John P. Huchra.
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